Directed by Baz Luhrmann
Screenplay by Luhrmann and Stuart Beattie
Starring: Nicole Kidman and Hugh Jackman
Set in northern Australia before World War II, an English aristocrat who inherits a sprawling ranch reluctantly pacts with a stock-man in order to protect her new property from a takeover plot. As the pair drive 2,000 head of cattle over unforgiving landscape, they experience the bombing of Darwin, Australia, by Japanese forces firsthand.
Why It Will Win: It's got Luhrmann at the helm, along with a very good cast. Already you have a recipe for a good film that the Academy enjoys. I mean, this movie will also dominate some of the technical awards, like Cinematography, Art Direction, Costume Design. So default nominations for it's Baz-Beauty will definitely come it's way. Also, I like the story. I think it's probably a little more emotional a film than Baz has done in the past, more story-driven. Kidman will also have a lot of oppurtunities for a baity performance, based on the script. Lot of emotion with her character. Plus, you have Hugh Jackman. Maybe he'll get his first nomination.
Why It Will Not Win: I hope it has enough substance. I hope it's not just a shitload of pictures that look nice. It most likely won't be..but who knows? Also, this is one of two epics that look to be contenders. This and Benjamin Button. Could two epics be up for Best Picture? No. Well, maybe. Huh. Can Nicole Kidman get back...to Virginia Woolf form? As in, being a good actress again? Can Hugh handle this role? I mean, it isn't a very deep cast, like Moulin Rouge!...
Nominations:
Best Lead Actress (Nicole Kidman)
Best Art Direction
Best Cinematography
Best Costume Design
Best Music, Original Score
The Bottom Line: Baz, will make another hit, and Kidman will turn in a great performance..but in terms of Oscar..it won't rise above tech nominations, getting 5 overall.
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