I haven't even started to make up my updated line-ups, but, every year, whether it's due to film festival raves, favorable history or an intense gut feeling, there are some sure-bets in the fight for the Oscar.
But what is a sure-bet, Marko?
It's someone/something that appears definite in terms of getting a nomination. No shit. Let's just say I would surely bet my life on them getting nominated. Let's just get the obvious one out of the way, shall we?...
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
It's a no-brainer. Possibly, at the end of the year, we'll still be calling this the best performance. Maybe. Or they'll be a ton of backlash. Yet, not on this performance. I may be sounding a little over-the-top, but his performance displayed exactly what acting is. He got into that character so severely, that you just got so ridiculously captivated. Purefection...
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
The festival raves did it. The career resurgence hoopla helped. Mickey Rourke, I believe is a sure-fire nominee, just because he's another (like Ledger) who so early in the year has a chance to be the year's best performance. So we know he's in, but what about his film? Can it nab a Best Picture nom? Director nom? A supporting actress nod for Marisa Tomei? Well it can get...
Bruce Springsteen's Original Song, The Wrestler
Arronofsky cries every time he hears it. Damn. He seems like the crying type. He annoys me. Anyway, I think the Academy would love to reward Springsteen, a true icon. And if the song's that good? It may just win.
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button's Cinematography nod
For Claudio Miranda! What a jazzy little name that one is! Have you seen those goddamn trailers? The camera shots, and the perfect lighting in terms of the setting seem spot on. The camerawork has potential to be classic.
Benjamin Button's Makeup
They've made good-looking man, Brad Pitt into a disgusting little shit of a mutant. Seriously, it borders on the freaky in the best way ever. A costume nod could follow this in as well.
Simon Beaufoy's Writing Nod For Slumdog Millionaire
Has a sad chance to be this film's only nod, though that is kind of unlikely. Could Beaufoy revisit the magic that was The Full Monty? Could this nod come crashing along with Best Picture and Director nods? Who knows?
Meryl Steep, Doubt
Don't be a DOUBTIN' Meryl. The kid can act, obviously. The material and film as a whole seems stellar in my eyes (though I have bad eyesight..ha..ha..ha). If any one thing about Doubt will get noticed big-time, it has to be Streep.
Mandy Walker's Orgasmic Cinematography, Australia
All of the shots, and everything, look incredible. Really seems like a film that's beauty lies mainly within the cinematography. Wow.
Wall-E, Best Animated Feature
I forgot about Wall-E. The film has really slipped off the face of the Earth. Yet, not for long. You know what's a sure-bet for Wall-E? A win. It's obvious.
Sean Penn as Harvey Milk
Could be the one to beat in the Lead Actor category. It's all about the biopic, recall? Could be another one of those TRANSFORMATION performances, which can be a clinic at times.
Milk, Best Picture
I'm getting freakishly bold now, aren't I? I'll say it again. This has everything, I say everything, on paper to get a nomination. You got your dominating Lead Actor, more-than-capable director in Van Sant, and a possibly magical supporting cast with Franco and Hirsch and Brolin. Yes, I said magical.
Hell, maybe there are no sure bets. That's why they make tankers, right? But how can some of these babies fail?
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