Wednesday, January 21

Oscar Nomination Eve Predictions

It's Oscar Nomination Eve! Here are the final predictions:

(Key: Green = Ladies and Gentleman, a Lock, Blue = Surprising If They Don't Make It, Red = Barely In)

Foreign Language Film
The Class
Waltz With Bashir
The Baader Meinhof Complex
Three Monkeys
Everlasting Moments

Animated Reature Film
Waltz With Bashir
WALL-E

Kung Fu Panda

Technical Achievement Nominations

Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man

Sound Mixing
WALL-E
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire

Sound Editing
The Dark Knight
Indiana Jones 4
Iron Man
WALL-E
Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Original Song
The Wrestler
WALL-E
Bolt
Slumdog Millionaire
HSM3

Original Score
Alexandre Desplat, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
A.R. Rahman, Slumdog Millionaire
Thomas Newman, WALL-E
Thomas Newman, Revolutionary Road
Hans Zimmer and James Newton Howard, The Dark Knight

Make-Up
The Reader
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Tropic Thunder

Film Editing
Slumdog Millionaire
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Frost/Nixon

Costume Design
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Other Boleyn Girl

Cinematography
Claudio Miranda, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Wally Pfister, The Dark Knight
Roger Deaking, Revolutionary Road
Anthony Dod Martel, Slumdog Millionaire
Colin Watkinson, The Fall

Art Direction
Milk
Revolutionary Road
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Changeling
The Reader

The Great Eight

Original Screenplay
Robert D. Siegel, The Wrestler
Andrew Stanton, WALL-E
Woody Allen, Vicky Christina Barcelona
Jenny Lumet, Rachel Getting Married
Dustin Lance Black, Milk


Adapted Screenplay
Eric Roth, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
John Patrick Shanley, Doubt
Peter Morgan, Frost/Nixon
Jonathan and Chris Nolan, The Dark Knight
Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire


Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis, Doubt
Kate Winslet, The Reader
Amy Adams, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, Benjamin Button
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Christina Barcelona

Best Supporting Actor
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
James Franco, Milk

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky

Best Actor
Sean Penn, Milk
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Brad Pitt, Benjamin Button
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino

Best Director
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Gus Van Sant, Milk
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight

Best Picture
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Slumdog Millionaire
The Dark Knight
Milk

Top Nominations:

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - 14
The Dark Knight - 10
Slumdog Millionaire - 8
Milk - 8
Frost/Nixon - 5
Doubt - 5

So I was pretty conservative. I think I'll do pretty well, save, maybe, for some of the Tech Branch. Any comments, bold predictions or musings of your own?

3 comments:

J.D. said...

I sorta think Everlasting Moments is gonna WIN? And isn't Three Monkeys way artsy?

Ugh, even I know no songs from HSM3 will happen. :(

Wow, no Tomei?

I am being way too criticizing right now. LOL. Srry.

Mark said...

Damn. Who knew you could be so mean? LOL. Totally kidding.

Anyway, yeah I felt Adams had the upper-hand on Tomei. That one took a lot of thought.

Oh, and I'm not too sharp on the Foreign field. Gomorra would have made things more clear-cut.

Anyway, don't be shocked if you see a few ballsy edits in the coming hours.

J.D. said...

:P ;)

I do think Adams will be nominated, though at Henson's extent. Sure she's in an assured BP nominee, but she's got such a one-note character that's easy to write off, even if she's lovely. Tomei seems really, really safe from where I'm at.

Gomorrah, ugh. There would probably be at shot that it wouldn't be nominated even IF it were on the shortlist, apparently? It's like, not Oscary at all. I've heard the same for Three Monkeys. I do think Baader will make it in - possibly just for being the most expensive German film ever made. 'Cuz it seems like they themselves don't like it much.

Ooh, ballsy edits. Nice.